Turkey Earthquake Update: The earthquake that killed about 3800 people in Turkey and Syria on Monday, had anyone guessed it three years in advance. It may sound strange and you may not believe it, but if you search for a tweet related to it on Twitter, it will be seen to be true.
In fact, Frank Hoogerbeats, a researcher at the Solar System Geometry Survey (SSGEOS), who studies seismic activity, had predicted on Twitter three days in advance that if not today then tomorrow around south-central Turkey (Turkey), Jordan, Syria and Lebanon. There will be an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 in the region. However, no one took this tweet of his seriously. Some people called him a false scientist on this tweet and also questioned his earlier predictions.
The second prediction also proved to be true
The most surprising thing in this is that just after the earthquake on Monday, Huggerbeats retweeted a post by its research agency SSGEOS, in which the possibility of a major earthquake was once again raised. About three hours after this tweet, another earthquake measuring 7.6 on the Richter scale occurred in Turkiye (Turkey). In such a situation, the second prediction of Huggerbeats also proved to be true.
Sooner or later there will be a ~M 7.5 #earthquake in this region (South-Central Turkey, Jordan, Syria, Lebanon). #deprem pic.twitter.com/6CcSnjJmCV
— Frank Hoogerbeets (@hogrbe) February 3, 2023
#earthquake M 6.7 – CENTRAL TURKEY – 2023-02-06 01:28:18 UTC
This is the strongest aftershock so far. Aftershocks will continue in the region for some time, mostly 4-5 magnitude, but a stronger tremor is possible. pic.twitter.com/y7UiRhaZMB
— SSGEOS (@ssgeos) February 6, 2023
expressed grief after the accident
After their prediction came true, Hugarbeats tweeted, expressing their sadness, “My heart goes out to all those affected by the massive earthquake in central Turkey. I said earlier, sooner or later there will be an earthquake in this area similar to the years 115 and 526. Such earthquakes are always preceded by significant planetary geometries.”
This guy has been predicting earthquakes based on lunar & planetary geometry models & though many of his predictions have come up empty, a few, in particular this recent one in the Turkish/Syrian border was eerily accurate. Still looking at prediction accuracy; looks quite low. https://t.co/EbFCvmMNGA
— Dr Hyelander 🇦🇲 🌋 (@Helioprogenus) February 6, 2023
Many users criticized the prediction
Three days ago, when Huggerbeats tweeted predicting an earthquake, people questioned them. Some people even criticized him for his predictions. One user wrote, “This man is predicting earthquakes on the basis of lunar and planetary geometry models. While many of its predictions have turned out to be wrong. A user named @ReusVisser tweeted “Seismologists regularly dismiss their work as misleading and unscientific, arguing that there is no accurate way to predict earthquakes.”
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